Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Louisiana

The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate winning 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 57.5 percentage points, while Trump did better with 57.5 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 42.3 percentage points less and Trump has 42.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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