Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Kansas
The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 60.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 60.1 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 42.2 percentage points less and Trump has 42.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Kansas.