Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Indiana

The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 57.3 percentage points, while Trump did better with 57.3 percentage points.

The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 44.5 percentage points less and Trump has 44.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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