The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 57.3 percentage points, while Trump did better with 57.3 percentage points.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 44.5 percentage points less and Trump has 44.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Indiana.