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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Idaho


The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 68.8 percentage points, while Trump did better with 68.8 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 35.4 percentage points less and Trump has 35.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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