Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Georgia

The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 54.5 percentage points, while Trump did better with 54.5 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 48.0 percentage points less and Trump has 48.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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