Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Delaware

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 44.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 44.6 percentage points.

The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 55.2 percentage points less and Trump has 55.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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