Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Delaware
The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 44.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 44.6 percentage points.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 55.2 percentage points less and Trump has 55.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Delaware.