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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Connecticut

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The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 44.9 percentage points, while Trump did better with 44.9 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 54.6 percentage points less and Trump has 54.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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