Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Colorado

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.

Historically, Colorado has been a swing state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is why predictions in this state are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 48.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 48.0 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 53.4 percentage points less and Trump has 53.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.