The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.
Historically, Colorado has been a swing state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is why predictions in this state are of particular importance.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 48.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 48.0 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 53.4 percentage points less and Trump has 53.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Colorado.