Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in California

The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 43.4 percentage points, while Trump did better with 43.4 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 59.3 percentage points less and Trump has 59.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.