The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they can include large biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 58.5 percentage points, while Trump did better with 58.5 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 43.0 percentage points less and Trump has 43.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Arkansas.