The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 57.3 percentage points, while Trump did better with 57.3 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 46.0 percentage points less and Trump has 46.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Arizona.