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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Arizona


The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 57.3 percentage points, while Trump did better with 57.3 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 46.0 percentage points less and Trump has 46.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Arizona.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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