The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they can incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 64.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 64.6 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 39.2 percentage points less and Trump has 39.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Alaska.