The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 61.7% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, whereas Trump will end up with 38.3%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently achieves 61.9% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Rhode Island. Compared to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.2 percentage points better.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 63.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island, which is 1.3 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 9.0 percentage points higher.