Putting the results in context

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 50.4% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will win 49.7%.

Colorado is traditionally a battleground state, where the Republican and Democratic candidates have often achieved similar levels of support among voters. Hence, the election outcome here is considered critical in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.4% in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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