Putting the results in context

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will obtain 50.3% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, while Trump will win 49.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.4% in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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