The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 49.5% for Clinton and 50.5% for Trump in Virginia.
Virginia is traditionally a purple state, where the Republican and Democratic candidates have often gained similar levels of voter support. Hence, the election outcome in that state is viewed as important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 49.8% in Virginia.