Putting the results in context

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.2% for Clinton and 48.9% for Trump in Wisconsin.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Wisconsin econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 53.2%. This value is 2.0 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.2% in Wisconsin. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 1.5 percentage points lower.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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