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North Dakota: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 37.0% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will win 63.1%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they often incorporate substantial biases. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in North Dakota sees Trump at 59.4% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 3.7 percentage points lower.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in North Dakota, which is 3.4 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 15.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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