The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 37.0% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will win 63.1%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they often incorporate substantial biases. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in North Dakota sees Trump at 59.4% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 3.7 percentage points lower.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in North Dakota, which is 3.4 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 15.8 percentage points higher.