North Carolina: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will collect 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 53.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump is currently at 53.2% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in North Carolina. Compared to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 0.4 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 51.2% of the two-party vote in North Carolina, which is 2.4 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 6.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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