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Maryland: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead


The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 61.4% for Clinton and 38.6% for Trump in Maryland.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can incorporate large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 61.1% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Maryland. This value is 0.3 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.3% in Maryland. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 8.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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