The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 32.3% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will end up with 67.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
Trump currently runs at 71.1% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Wyoming. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 3.4 percentage points higher.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 70.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming, which is 3.1 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 20.4 percentage points higher.