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Jerome model: Trump with very clear lead in Wyoming


The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 32.3% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will end up with 67.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

Trump currently runs at 71.1% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Wyoming. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 3.4 percentage points higher.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 70.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming, which is 3.1 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 20.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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