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Jerome model: Trump with comfortable lead in South Carolina

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The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.6% for Clinton and 53.4% for Trump in South Carolina.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in South Carolina, which is 2.0 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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