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Jerome model: Trump in Vermont trails by a moderate margin


The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will garner 54.2% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 45.8%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they often contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.7% in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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