Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton and 13.6% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 90.3% of the two-party vote, which is 3.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.