Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton and 13.6% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 90.3% of the two-party vote, which is 3.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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