Jerome model in Wyoming: Trump with very clear lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will achieve 32.3% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will win 67.7%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 70.8% in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.