The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will obtain 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will win 44.9%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results vs. other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Wisconsin has Clinton at 53.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.0 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin, which is 1.9 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 2.4 percentage points higher.