Hit enter after type your search item

Jerome model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead


The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will obtain 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will win 44.9%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Wisconsin has Clinton at 53.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.0 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin, which is 1.9 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 2.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar