Jerome model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.1% for Clinton and 44.9% for Trump in Wisconsin.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.7% in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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