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Jerome model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.0% for Clinton and 54.0% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in West Virginia sees Trump at 60.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.4 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Jerome model.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia, which is 7.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 6.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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