Jerome model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.8% for Clinton and 47.2% for Trump in Washington.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.1% in Washington.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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