The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will achieve 44.3% of the two-party vote share in Virginia, whereas Trump will win 55.7%.
Historically, Virginia has been a purple state, in which neither the Democrats nor the Republicans have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is why forecasts here are of particular importance.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 49.8% of the two-party vote in Virginia, which is 5.9 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model.