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Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.4% for Clinton and 64.6% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, don't have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Utah has Trump at 71.4% of the two-party vote. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 6.8 percentage points higher.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 62.9% of the two-party vote in Utah, which is 1.7 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 17.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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