Jerome model in South Dakota: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 43.0% for Clinton and 57.0% for Trump in South Dakota.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in South Dakota, which is 2.3 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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