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Jerome model in Oregon: Clinton with comfortable lead


The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model's forecast is that Clinton will collect 54.2% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, whereas Trump will end up with 45.8%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 52.8% in Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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