The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton and 47.8% for Trump in New Mexico.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 52.6% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in New Mexico. Relative to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.4 percentage points better.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in New Mexico, which is 1.1 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.5 percentage points lower.