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Jerome model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 46.2% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will end up with 53.8%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, one should consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Mississippi econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 56.2%. This value is 2.4 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Jerome model.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results are consistent with the prediction from PollyVote for Mississippi. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 6.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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