The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.2% for Clinton and 44.8% for Trump in Maine.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently achieves 55.4% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Maine. This value is 0.2 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Maine, which is 0.7 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.5 percentage points higher.