The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will collect 32.1% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will win 67.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.6% in Idaho.