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Jerome model in Idaho: Trump with very clear lead


The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will collect 32.1% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will win 67.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.6% in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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