The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 32.1% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will win 67.9%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results vs. other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Idaho has Trump at 68.8% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.9 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.6% in Idaho. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 20.6 percentage points higher.