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Jerome model in Idaho: Trump with very clear lead


The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 32.1% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will win 67.9%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Idaho has Trump at 68.8% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.9 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.6% in Idaho. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 20.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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