Jerome model in Georgia: Trump with small lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 47.6% for Clinton and 52.4% for Trump in Georgia.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia, which is 0.4 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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