Jerome model in Connecticut: Clinton with comfortable lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will win 46.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they may contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.6% in Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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