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Jerome model in Colorado: Clinton with comfortable lead

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The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.7% for Clinton and 46.3% for Trump in Colorado.

Historically, Colorado has been a purple state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. Hence, forecasts in this state are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Colorado econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 52.0%. This value is 1.7 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in Colorado, which is 0.3 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 1.0 percentage point higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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