Jerome model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 30.9% for Clinton and 69.1% for Trump in Alaska.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 60.8% of the two-party vote in Alaska, which is 8.3 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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