The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 45.6% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will win 54.4%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, one should use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Results compared to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Alabama econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 59.3%. This value is 4.9 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Jerome model.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.2% in Alabama. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 7.1 percentage points higher.