Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead in Rhode Island

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 61.7% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, whereas Trump will end up with 38.3%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 63.0% in Rhode Island.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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