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Jerome model: Clinton with comfortable lead in Colorado

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The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.7% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will end up with 46.3%.

Historically, Colorado has been a battleground state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. Hence, predictions in this state are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.4% in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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