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Jerome model: Clinton in Indiana trails by a clear margin

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model's forecast is that Clinton will garner 43.4% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, whereas Trump will end up with 56.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.5% in Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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