Jerome model: Clinton in Alabama trails by a moderate margin
The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will garner 45.6% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will win 54.4%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Alabama, which is 5.8 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.