Jerome model: Clinton in Alabama trails by a moderate margin

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will garner 45.6% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will win 54.4%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Alabama, which is 5.8 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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