DeSart model: Trump with clear lead in Indiana

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.1% for Clinton and 57.9% for Trump in Indiana.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.5% in Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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