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DeSart model: Trump with clear lead in Arizona

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 42.7% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will win 57.3%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Arizona, which is 3.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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