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DeSart model: Trump in Vermont trails by a very clear margin

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 66.5% for Clinton and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Vermont has Clinton at 60.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 60.7% of the two-party vote in Vermont, which is 5.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 13.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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